股指期货准备工作取得重大进展

　　本报上海6月27日电 (记者 谢卫群) 经中国证监会批准，中国金融期货交易所今天正式发布股指期货《交易规则》，其配套实施细则亦于同日发布。

　　中金所《交易规则》和《违规违约处理办法》日前也获得中国证监会批准，于27日正式发布。中金所同时发布的配套实施细则还包括：《交易细则》、《结算细则》、《结算会员结算业务细则》、《会员管理办法》、《风险控制管理办法》、《信息管理办法》、《套期保值管理办法》。

　　《交易规则》及其实施细则的正式发布，是股指期货准备工作中的阶段性成果，标志着股指期货的准备工作取得了重大进展。在《交易规则》及其实施细则出台之后，市场参与各方将依据相关规则加快准备工作，推动股指期货的上市进程。

　　此次《交易规则》及其实施细则的正式发布，标志着中金所的规则体系和风险管理制度已经建立，金融期货的法规体系基本完备，金融期货的诞生具备了坚实的法规基础。

　　据了解，《交易规则》及其实施细则从去年3月开始起草，在整个制定过程中，中金所广泛征求了国内外专家的意见和建议，并两次向全社会大规模公开征求意见。在综合考虑各方反馈意见和建议，并经过仿真交易的充分检验之后，才形成了此次公布的完整的规则体系

北京时间6月28日,美国著名科技博客沃尔特·莫斯伯格(Walt Mossberg)近日通过电子邮件向苹果CEO史蒂夫·乔布斯(Steve Jobs)问了一些有关iPhone的问题,下面是乔布斯给出的答案:

莫斯伯格:谁是iPhone的目标客户?是智能手机用户,或者是希望使用整合设备的iPod用户?
乔布斯:几乎每个人都痛恨自己使用的手机。由于用户界面过于糟糕,所以大部分用户都只能使用手机的少数功能。我们希望帮助每一个人改变这一局面。很多消费者希望同时拥有手机和iPod,因为大部分手机都不是出色的音乐播放器。如果不计入购买iPod的200美元成本,iPhone剩余部分的价格仅为299美元。

莫斯伯格:为什么iPhone抛弃了传统的键盘?这是否会使那些习惯黑莓全键盘设计的用户远离iPhone?
乔布斯:iPhone拥有移动设备中最优秀、最先进的键盘。同所有小键盘一样,用户需要时间去适应iPhone的键盘。用户很快就能学会利用iPhone的智能功能,自动修改输入错误。因此,所有用户都将喜欢上iPhone的输入模式,并发现自己的输入速度并不比使用Treo、黑莓、或其它智能手机时慢,甚至还要更快一些。
利用iPhone的键盘设计,我们可以采用更先进的软件来提升准确性,针对特定应用定制键盘,甚至在需要的时候去掉键盘。例如,去掉键盘之后,我们可以使用整个屏幕阅读电子邮件、浏览网页、察看电图、观看图片和电影、以及完成其它我们还没有想到的工作。我们认为,iPhone的键盘是一项宝贵的资产,同时也是它的竞争优势。

莫斯伯格:为什么iPhone只支持传输速度相对较慢的手机数据网络?我们知道,很多智能手机都支持速度更快的网络。
乔布斯:iPhone同时支持Wi-Fi和EDGE高速数据网络。EDGE在美国的普及度非常高,通过EDGE网络访问电子邮件、地图、股票和天气等服务已经足够快。如果发现Wi-FI网络,iPhone可以完成自动切换。众所周知,Wi-FI的数据传输速度要比3G快好几倍。因此,iPhone并不支持3G网络,而是同时支持两种数据传输技术,一种比3G慢,一种比3G快。

莫斯伯格:你们何时会推出支持3G的iPhone?
乔布斯:我们并不会谈论未来的产品。我要强调一点,Wi-FI比3G更快。

莫斯伯格:为什么iPhone只支持AT&T网络?iPhone未来会支持其它美国运营商吗?
乔布斯:AT&T是美国最大的无线服务运营商,而且该公司过去两年投入数十亿美元用于建设网络。AT&T采用了GSM技术,这一技术已经被全球80%以上的移动通信用户所采用。iPhone是一款支持四频GSM技术的全球性手机,适合美国、欧洲和大部分亚洲市场。

莫斯伯格:你们何时会推出低价版的iPhone?
乔布斯:我们不会谈论未来产品。

莫斯伯格:第一版iPhone不支持很多智能手机所拥有的功能,例如视频录制、即时信息和实时GPS导航等等。iPhone何时会加入这些功能?
乔布斯:我们不会谈论未来产品。我要说的是,iPhone是全球最先进的移动设备软件平台,未来将会加入大量的软件功能。

离发售日期还有6天，第一批iPhone终于于上周末抵达美国。
据消息人士透露，这次承担运输任务的是一家香港空运公司。在起飞前，全球各地的货物都由Apple雇用的武装保安人员保护着。而这些保安人员一般是保护黄金或钻石的。
货物落地后，保安人员马上立地拆封，检查货物完整性。然后移交仓库，整个仓库禁止所有摄像设备进入。保卫措施极其严密。
看来Apple是相当重视此次的首发仪式，让我们一起期待吧。

• Mortgage-back market in US unnerves investors, raises risk fears
• JPY crosses make new highs, but look to be setting up for a reversal
• FOMC meeting on Thursday; housing data and durable goods are key
• RBNZ looks to have intervened in Kiwi during late NY Friday afternoon
The US dollar is finishing the week lower against European currencies and slightly higher against the JPY, which means the JPY-crosses continued their relentless gains higher. New highs were reached in all the major JPY carry trade pairs: NZD/JPY, AUD/JPY, GBP/JPY, EUR/JPY, CHF/JPY and USD/JPY (CAD/JPY only managed to test prior highs). Despite the new highs in the JPY-crosses, I’m getting the sense that a shake-out lower is increasingly likely and I’ll explain later in this update.
There was little in the way of data to move the market during the past week, and what data there was failed to move the market in the expected direction. For example, softer German business sentiment (IFO) failed to dent Euro strength, while better than expected US May LEI and June Philadelphia Fed Index failed to support the USD toward the end of the week. This suggests the market was more intent on adding to carry-trade positions and exiting USD longs versus Europe. Among the biggest gainers on the week was GBP, which rallied from about 1.9750 to just shy of 2.000 during the week, after the MPC minutes revealed maximum dissent, including BOE Gov. King, on the vote to hold rates steady. Markets now fully expect another rate hike by the BOE at its next meeting on July 5, potentially followed by yet another rate hike in 3Q.
US equity markets finished about 2% lower on the week, but more importantly look to have formed the double-top I cautioned about last week. A larger decline is suggested by an S&P decline below the recent low at 1485/90. US Treasury yields bounced around in a choppy range between about 5.05-5.20 and look set to close right in the middle at 5.13 on the week. US Fed Funds futures began to price in yet again a minor prospect of a US rate cut later in the 3Q or 4Q. The US yield curve steepened abruptly during the week in what is usually taken as a sign of uncertainty or increased risk perceptions. The immediate cause is the lingering fear that the weakness in the mortgage-backed security market that triggered major losses at several prominent funds may only be the tip of the iceberg. The result was a flight to quality, buying short-term US Treasury issues and selling longer-term notes, resulting in the 2-year/10-year spread widening to its largest in some time.
Taken together, weaker stock prices and increased credit risks suggest an overall increase in financial market volatility and risk-aversion, which is usually a trigger to unwinding of riskier trades, namely the carry trade. But developments in those other markets have yet to spill-over into the carry trade, as new highs were made on nearly a daily basis over the last several weeks. This may be due in large part to semi-annual bonus payments being delivered to Japanese workers during the month of June. With fresh cash in hand, Japanese savers and investors have been aggressively sending JPY offshore (JPY selling) to higher yielding destinations. Another contingent is actively speculating on further spot price appreciation through margin trading accounts. The seasonality of the cash flows suggest that the pace of JPY-selling is likely to slow abruptly as June draws to a close and one-time off-shore investments have been made.
Add it all together, and I remain on alert for a spate of carry-trade unwinding. From the charts, I would note that NZD/JPY, which carries the highest yield differential, posted a bearish engulfing pattern on the daily candles over Thursday and Friday. Also, USD/JPY looks to be posting a shooting star pattern with Friday’s failure to hold over 124.00, though I’d prefer it had a longer tail above. Both patterns suggest a reversal lower from recent price highs.
(As I was writing this report on Friday afternoon, it appears the RBNZ stepped into the market and intervened again, selling NZD/USD and sending Kiwi about 50 pips lower, and NZD/JPY about 60 pips lower. If confirmed as intervention, the RBNZ action may also contribute to a potentially wider-scale carry trade liquidation.)
Going forward, it would seem that widely anticipated 2Q rebound in US GDP, estimates are now focused on a 3.5-4.0% annualized 2Q GDP reading, has been fully digested and markets are already looking ahead and concluding the prospects remain uncertain. Most of the 2Q rebound in GDP has already been attributed to narrower trade deficits and inventory adjustments and so is not viewed as a sustainable improvement in US output. In the meantime, higher energy prices and rising long-term interest rates are likely to generate greater headwinds for individual consumers, with the housing market hanging like a millstone from the overall economy’s neck.
US data next week begins with May existing home sales on Monday. Tuesday sees the April US home price index, June Richmond Fed index, May new home sales and June conference Board consumer confidence. Wednesday has weekly MBA mortgage applications and May durable goods orders. Thursday sees final 1Q GDP and weekly jobless claims, followed by an expected steady FOMC rate decision in the afternoon. Friday finishes up with a heavy slate: May personal income and spending, May PCE core inflation readings, June Chicago PMI, May construction spending and final June Univ. of Michigan sentiment. Fed speakers include Gov. Mishkin speaking on globalization over the weekend. US Treasury Sec. Paulson will be interviewed around noon EDT Wednesday at a conference hosted by the New York Stock Exchange.
Eurozone data starts out on Monday with the July German GfK consumer confidence survey. Tuesday sees May German import prices and April Eurozone current account balance. German June flash CPI estimate is due sometime from Wednesday to Friday, with the exact release time still to be announced. Wednesday also sees French June business confidence. Thursday’s highlights are June German and May French employment reports along with June Italian CPI. Friday sees May German retail sales, May French PPI, and June EU consumer and business confidence surveys.
Japanese data begins on Tuesday morning with May corporate service prices. Wednesday morning sees May retail trade reports followed by small business confidence in the afternoon. Thursday morning has the important preliminary May industrial production report scheduled. Friday morning sees May jobless data, household spending, June Tokyo CPI and May national CPI, followed by May housing starts and construction orders in the afternoon. The following week will see the release of the 2Q BOJ Tankan sentiment surveys.

日　期 北 京
时 间 国　家 指　　　标 前值 预测值 市场影响
6月25日 德国 6月调和消费者物价指数初值(年率)
德国 6月调和消费者物价指数初值(月率)
德国 6月消费者物价指数初值(年率)
德国 6月消费者物价指数初值(月率)(至28日)
14:00 德国 5月出口物价指数(年率)(至28日) 1.9%
14:00 德国 5月出口物价指数(月率) 0.3%
14:00 德国 5月进口物价指数(年率) 0.5% 0.6%
14:00 德国 5月进口物价指数(月率) 0.9% 0.3%
14:00 德国 7月Gfk消费者信心指数 7.3
22:00 美国 5月NAR成屋销售(万户) 599
22:00 美国 5月NAR成屋销售(月率) -2.6%
6月26日 06:45 新西兰 5月出口(纽元) 31.75亿
06:45 新西兰 5月进口(纽元) 33.87亿
07:50 日本 5月企业服务价格指数(年率) 1.1%
07:50 日本 5月企业服务价格指数(月率) 0.1%
14:45 法国 至5月三个月新屋开工(年率)
14:45 法国 至5月三个月营建许可(年率)
16:00 瑞士 5月UBS消费指数 2.35
21:00 美国 4月S&P/CS房价指数 200.89
21:00 美国 4月S&P/CS房价指数(月率) -0.3%
22:00 美国 5月新屋销售(万户) 98.1
22:00 美国 5月新屋销售(月率) 16.2%
22:00 美国 6月里奇蒙德联储服务业收入指数 7
22:00 美国 6月里奇蒙德联储零售收入指数 0
22:00 美国 6月里奇蒙德联储制造业指数 -10
22:00 美国 6月里奇蒙德联储制造业装船指数 -7
22:00 美国 6月谘商会求职指数 19.9
22:00 美国 6月谘商会消费者1年期通胀预期 5.5%
22:00 美国 6月谘商会消费者现况指数 136.1
22:00 美国 6月谘商会消费者信心指数 108.0
22:00 美国 6月谘商会消费者预期指数 89.2
6月27日 05:00 美国 上周ABC/华盛顿邮报消费者信心指数(至0624)
06:45 新西兰 5月贸易帐(纽元) -2.12亿 ★
06:45 新西兰 至5月12个月贸易帐(纽元) -60.2亿 ★
07:50 日本 5月季调后零售销售(月率) 0.4%
07:50 日本 5月零售销售(年率) -0.6%
14:45 法国 6月INSEE产出前景指数 15
14:45 法国 6月INSEE商业信心指数 109.0
17:30 瑞士 6月KOF领先指标 1.96
19:00 美国 上周MBA30年期固定抵押贷款利率(至0622)
19:00 美国 上周MBA抵押贷款购买指数(至0622)
19:00 美国 上周MBA抵押贷款申请活动指数(至0622)
19:00 美国 上周MBA抵押贷款再融资活动指数(至0622)
20:30 美国 5月扣除飞机的耐用消费品订单(月率) 2.1%
20:30 美国 5月扣除国防的耐用消费品订单(月率) 0.3%
20:30 美国 5月扣除交通的耐用消费品订单(月率) 0.7%
20:30 美国 5月耐用消费品订单(月率) 0.8% ★
22:30 美国 上周API精炼油库存变化(至0622)
22:30 美国 上周API汽油库存变化(至0627)
22:30 美国 上周API原油库存变化(至0622)
22:30 美国 上周EIA精炼厂设备利用率(至0622)
22:30 美国 上周EIA精炼油库存变化(至0622)
22:30 美国 上周EIA汽油库存变化(至0622)
22:30 美国 上周EIA原油库存变化(至0622)
6月28日 06:45 新西兰 5月营建许可(年率) 9.0%
06:45 新西兰 5月营建许可(月率) 0.7%
06:45 新西兰 第一季度GDP(季率) 0.8% ★
06:45 新西兰 第一季度GDP(年率) 2.1% ★
06:45 新西兰 第一季度经常帐(纽元) -39.29亿 ★
06:45 新西兰 至3月12个月经常帐(纽元) -144.0亿 ★
07:50 日本 5月工业产出(年率) 2.2%
07:50 日本 5月工业产出(月率) -0.2%
11:00 新西兰 5月NBNZ商业信心指数 -48.3
11:00 新西兰 5月货币供应M3(年率) 14.6%
14:00 德国 5月ILO失业率 6.4% ★
14:00 德国 5月实际零售销售(年率) -0.6%
14:00 德国 5月实际零售销售(月率)(至0703) 1.4%
16:00 德国 6月季调后失业率(官方) 9.2% ★
16:00 德国 6月季调后失业人数变化(官方) 0.9万
16:00 德国 6月季调后失业总人数 385.5万
16:00 德国 6月未季调失业总人数 380.6万
16:00 欧元区 5月货币供应M3(年率) 10.4%
16:00 欧元区 至5月三个月货币供应M3(年率) 10.4%
17:00 意大利 6月调和消费者物价指数初值(年率) 1.9%
17:00 意大利 6月调和消费者物价指数初值(月率) 0.4%
17:00 意大利 6月消费者物价指数初值(年率) 1.5% ★
17:00 意大利 6月消费者物价指数初值(月率) 0.3% ★
20:30 美国 第一季度GDP平减指数终值 4.0% ★★
20:30 美国 第一季度个人消费支出物价指数终值 3.3%
20:30 美国 第一季度核心个人消费支出物价指数终值 2.2% ★★
20:30 美国 第一季度企业获利终值 1.0%
20:30 美国 第一季度实际GDP终值 0.6% ★★★
20:30 美国 第一季度最终销售终值 1.6%
20:30 美国 上周初请失业金人数(至0623) ★★
20:30 美国 上周初请失业金人数四周均值(至0623)
20:30 美国 上周续请失业金人数(至0616)
22:00 美国 上周道琼斯-三菱东京UFJ银行商业景气指数(至0616)
22:30 美国 上周EIA天然气库存变化(立方英尺)(至0622)
6月29日 04:30 美国 上周货币供给M1变动(美元)(至0618)
04:30 美国 上周货币供给M2变动(美元)(至0618)
04:30 美国 上周外国央行持有美国国债变动(美元)(至0626)
07:30 日本 5月全国核心消费者物价指数(年率) -0.1% ★★
07:30 日本 5月全国消费者物价指数(年率) 0.0% ★
07:30 日本 5月全国消费者物价指数(月率) 0.2% ★
07:30 日本 5月失业率 3.8% ★★
07:30 日本 6月东京核心消费者物价指数(年率) 0.0% ★★
07:30 日本 6月东京消费者物价指数(年率) 0.0% ★
07:30 日本 6月东京消费者物价指数(月率) 0.2% ★
07:30 日本 6月制造业采购经理人指数 51.4
09:30 澳大利亚 5月私营企业贷款(年率) 14.5%
09:30 澳大利亚 5月私营企业贷款(月率) 1.2%
13:00 日本 5月新屋开工(年率) -3.6%
13:00 日本 5月新屋开工(万户) 129.1
13:00 日本 5月营建订单(年率) 1.8%
14:45 法国 5月失业率 ★
14:45 法国 5月失业人数变化
14:45 法国 6月消费者信心指数
14:45 法国 第一季度GDP终值(季率) 0.5% ★
14:45 法国 第一季度GDP终值(年率) 2.0% ★
14:50 法国 5月生产者物价指数(年率)
14:50 法国 5月生产者物价指数(月率)
16:30 英国 5月M4货币供给贷款终值(英镑)
16:30 英国 5月M4货币供应终值(年率)
16:30 英国 5月M4货币供应终值(月率)
16:30 英国 5月房屋净借款(英镑) 89.32亿
16:30 英国 5月消费信贷(英镑) 4.98亿
16:30 英国 5月央行抵押许可 10.7万
17:00 欧元区 6月服务业景气指数 22.0
17:00 欧元区 6月工业景气指数 6.0
17:00 欧元区 6月经济景气指数 111.9
17:00 欧元区 6月企业景气指数 1.53
17:00 欧元区 6月消费者物价指数快速预估
17:00 欧元区 6月消费者信心指数 -1
20:30 美国 5月个人收入 -0.1%
20:30 美国 5月个人消费支出物价指数(年率) 2.2%
20:30 美国 5月个人消费支出物价指数(月率) 0.3%
20:30 美国 5月个人支出 0.5%
20:30 美国 5月核心个人消费支出物价指数(年率) 2.0% ★
20:30 美国 5月核心个人消费支出物价指数(月率) 0.1% ★
20:30 美国 5月实际个人支出
21:45 美国 6月芝加哥采购经理人供应商交付指数 45.3
21:45 美国 6月芝加哥采购经理人就业指数 57.3
21:45 美国 6月芝加哥采购经理人物价支付指数 70.2
21:45 美国 6月芝加哥采购经理人新订单指数 71.1
21:45 美国 6月芝加哥采购经理人指数 61.7
22:00 美国 5月营建支出 0.1%
22:30 美国 上周ECRI领先指标(至0622)

一周金融事件

日　期 北京时间 地　点 事　　件 影　　响
6月27日 华盛顿 美联储公开市场委员会召开为期两天的议息会议(至28日)
01:00 芝加哥 芝加哥联储主席莫斯可接受市民联盟颁发的市民参与奖
英国 英国首相布莱尔正式离职
土耳其 OECD世界论坛(至30日)
6月28日 02:15 华盛顿 美联储公开市场委员会公布短期利率决定及政策声明
15:00 苏黎世 瑞士央行货币政策报告-经济环境
21:15 土耳其 欧洲央行管理委员会委员帕雷默在OECD世界论坛上发表演讲
6月29日 21:00 瑞士 瑞士央行行长罗斯就”体制风险的法律和经济”发表演讲

备注：随机潜力范围：
-10＝170～200
-9＝150～180
-8＝130～160
….
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姓名 国籍 俱乐部 位置 年龄 开档能力 潜力
Messi, Lionel Argentina / Spain Barcelona AM RLC 19 178 192
Akinfeev, Igor Russia CSKA Moscow GK 20 144 190
Kompany, Vincent Belgium / Republic of Congo HSV D C 20 153 187
Bojinov, Valeri Bulgaria Juventus ST 20 150 181
Sergio Ramos Spain R. Madrid D RC, DM 20 168 180
Lennon, Aaron England Tottenham AM R 19 156 180
de Guzman, Jonathan Canada / Holland Feyenoord AM RC 18 143 180
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Fàbregas, Francesc Spain Arsenal M C 19 169 -10
Agüero, Sergio Argentina Atlético AM/F C 18 155 -10
Anderson Brazil Porto AM/F C 18 145 -10
Gago, Fernando Argentina Boca DM 20 140 -10
Guardado, Andrés Mexico Atlas WB/AM L 19 140 -10
Walcott, Theo England Arsenal AM R, F C 17 137 -10
Rossi, Giuseppe Italy / U.S.A. Newcastle AM/F C 19 135 -10
Ustari, Oscar Argentina Independiente GK 20 135 -10
Ben Arfa, Hatem France / Tunisia Lyon AM LC 19 134 -10
Falcao Colombia River F C 20 133 -10
Piqué, Gerard Spain Zaragoza D C 19 133 -10
Kerlon Brazil Cruzeiro AM/F C 18 115 -10
dos Santos, Giovani Mexico / Brazil Barcelona AM C 17 103 -10
Vela, Carlos Mexico Salamanca AM/F C 17 100 -10
?íguez, Aarón Spain Valencia AM/F C 17 80 -10

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Raúl García Spain / Pays Basque Osasuna AM C 20 148 178
Silva Spain Valencia AM RLC 20 148 175
Aissati, Ismael Holland / Morocco PSV AM LC 17 130 175
Evandro Brazil Atlético Paranaense AM C 19 128 174
Biglia, Lucas Argentina Anderlecht DM 20 142 173
Vukcevic, Simon Montenegro Saturn AM LC 20 118 173
Moore, Luke England Aston Villa ST 20 138 172
Renato Augusto Brazil Flamengo AM RLC 18 128 172
Arenas, Líbis Colombia Lazio GK 19 127 171
Manuel Fernandes Portugal Portsmouth M C 20 155 170
Moutinho, Jo?o Portugal Sporting CP AM C 19 149 170
Zapata, Cristian Colombia Udinese D C 19 136 170
Shust, Bogdan Ukraine Shakhtar GK 20 135 170
Alê Brazil Botafogo DM 20 122 170
Rybka, Olexandr Ukraine Dinamo Kiev GK 18 120 170
Cerci, Alessio Italy Brescia AM RL, F C 18 101 170
Aydin, Yilmaz Turkey Galatasaray AM RL 18 100 170
Luiz?o Brazil Cruzeiro D C 19 134 168
Capel, Diego Spain Sevilla AM L 18 113 168
Thiago Ribeiro Brazil S?o Paulo ST 20 140 167
Willian Brazil Palmeiras AM C 19 113 167
Dessena, Daniele Italy Parma AM RC 19 135 166
Leonardo Brazil Shakhtar D C 20 129 166
Babel, Ryan Holland Ajax AM L, ST 19 140 165
Castro, Gonzalo Germany / Spain Leverkusen D/WB R 19 137 165
Kruska, Marc-André Germany Dortmund DM 19 137 165
Chygrynskyi, Dmytro Ukraine Shakhtar D RC 19 135 165
Vanden Borre, Anthony Belgium / Republic of Congo Anderlecht D RC, M R 18 131 165
O’Brien, Joey Ireland Bolton D R, M C 20 130 165
Tissone, Damián Argentina / Italy Atalanta M C 19 130 165
Sunny Nigeria Ejido DM 17 125 165
Anderson, Paul England Liverpool AM R 17 125 165
Skjelbred, Per Ciljan Norway Rosenborg AM RLC 19 124 165
Arda, Turan Turkey Galatasaray AM R 19 115 165
Masiello, Andrea Italy Siena D C 20 113 165
Antwi, Godwin Ghana / Spain Liverpool D C 18 105 165
Pecci, Cristian Spain Betis D RC 18 91 165
Sannibale, Simone Italy Juve Stabia D C 20 82 165

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Marcelo Brazil Fluminense D/WB L 18 148 -9
Gourcuff, Yohan France Milan AM RC 19 147 -9
Fernández, Matías Chile Colo Colo AM C 20 145 -9
Sahin, Nuri Turkey Dortmund M C 17 145 -9
Nani Portugal / Cape Verde Sporting CP AM LC 19 145 -9
Richards, Micah England Man City D RC, DM 18 144 -9
Arouca Brazil Fluminense DM 19 143 -9
Taylor, Steven England Newcastle D C 20 142 -9
N’Zogbia, Charles France Newcastle AM LC 20 142 -9
Polanski, Eugen Germany / Poland Gladbach DM 20 142 -9
Lucas Brazil / Italy Grêmio DM 19 139 -9
Djourou, Johan Switzerland / Ivory Coast Arsenal D C 19 138 -9
Diaby, Vassiriki France / Ivory Coast Arsenal DM 20 137 -9
Cardozo, Neri Argentina Boca AM RL 19 135 -9
Paletta, Gabriel Argentina / Italy Liverpool D C 20 133 -9
Cárdenas, Sherman Colombia Bucaramanga AM RC 16 133 -9
Ménez, Jérémy France Monaco AM RLC, F C 19 134 -9
Benzema, Karim France / Algeria Lyon AM R, F C 18 131 -9
Ramón Brazil Corinthians AM/F C 18 131 -9
Jurado, José Manuel Spain Atlético AM C 20 130 -9
Pedro León Spain Murcia AM R 19 130 -9
Ross, Junior Peru Coronel Bolognesi AM R, ST 20 130 -9
Mikel, John Obi Nigeria Chelsea M C 19 130 -9
Nasri, Samir France / Algeria Marseille AM LC 19 130 -9
Xisco Spain Hércules ST 20 130 -9
Barragán, Antonio Spain Deportivo D/WB R 19 130 -9
Higuaín, Gonzalo France / Argentina River AM/F C 18 129 -9
Sánchez, Alexis Chile Colo Colo AM RL, F C 18 128 -9
Leandro Lima Brazil S?o Caetano AM C 18 126 -9
Zárate, Mauro Argentina / Italy Vélez ST 19 125 -9
Acu?a, Carlos Javier Paraguay Cádiz ST 18 125 -9
Miguel Spain Atlético AM RLC 20 125 -9
Eduardo Ratinho Brazil Corinthians D/WB R 19 124 -9
Mokoena, Lebohang South Africa Orlando Pirates AM RC, F C 19 123 -9
Yannick Djaló Portugal / Guinea-Bissau Sporting CP F C 20 123 -9
Denílson Brazil Arsenal DM 18 122 -9
Fernández, Augusto Argentina River AM RC 20 122 -9
Celsinho Brazil Lokomotiv Moscow AM RC, F C 17 122 -9
Bruno Mezenga Brazil Flamengo ST 18 121 -9
Welliton Brazil Goiás AM/F C 19 121 -9
Adu, Freddy U.S.A. / Ghana D.C. United AM LC 17 120 -9
Guarín, Freddy Colombia St. Etienne DM, M RC 19 120 -9
Bendtner, Nicklas Denmark Birmingham ST 18 120 -9
Amaral Brazil Palmeiras D/WB R 18 120 -9
Ca, Bocundji Guinea-Bissau Nantes DM 19 120 -9
Peirone, Hernán Argentina San Lorenzo ST 20 120 -9
Araujo, Patricio Mexico Chivas SW, D C, DM 18 120 -9
Peter, Sergio Germany Blackburn AM RL 20 120 -9
Marcelo Grohe Brazil / Germany Grêmio GK 19 120 -9
Digard, Didier France Le Havre D C, DM 20 119 -9
Garay, Ezequiel Argentina Racing SW, D C 19 119 -9
Moralez, Maximiliano Argentina Racing Club AM C 19 119 -9
Paolucci, Michele Italy Ascoli ST 20 119 -9
Vieirinha Portugal Porto AM R 20 117 -9
Bangura, Al Sierra Leone / England Watford DM 18 117 -9
Ducasse, Pierre France Bordeaux DM 19 116 -9
Iakovenko, Sasha Ukraine Genk AM LC, F C 18 116 -9
Aythami Spain Las Palmas D C, DM 20 115 -9
Andreolli, Marco Italy Inter D RC 20 115 -9
Lupoli, Arturo Italy Derby ST 19 115 -9
Marchisio, Claudio Italy Juventus M C 20 115 -9
Okaka Italy / Nigeria Roma ST 17 115 -9
Esparza, Omar Mexico Chivas D L, DM, AM LC 18 115 -9
Moreno, Héctor Mexico Pumas D C 18 115 -9
Bale, Gareth Wales Southampton D L 17 115 -9
Leyrielton Brazil Goiás D/WB/M R 18 114 -9
Bruno Mezenga Brazil Flamengo ST 18 112 -9
Jones, Ritchie England Man Utd M C 19 110 -9
Fraga, Miguel ángel Mexico Morelia GK 19 110 -9
Barbosa, Hélder Portugal Porto AM L 19 109 -9
Barnes, Giles England Derby M RC 18 109 -9
Arias, Jonathan Mexico Toluca D LC 20 107 -9
Laurito, Federico Argentina Udinese ST 16 107 -9
Michel Schmoller Brazil Figueirense D C, DM 16 105 -9
Mancienne, Michael England Chelsea D C 18 105 -9
Guzmán, éver Mexico Morelia ST 18 105 -9
Thicot, Steven France Sedan SW, D C 19 105 -9
Sturgis, Nathan U.S.A. Los Angeles D RLC, DM 18 104 -9
El-Mourabet, Karim Morocco Nantes D C 19 102 -9
Andrade, édgar Mexico Cruz Azul M RC 18 100 -9
Batres, Roberto Spain Atlético AM/F C 20 100 -9
Villaluz, César Mexico Cruz Azul AM R 18 100 -9
Fürstner, Stefan Germany FC Bayern DM 18 99 -9
Aurelio, Salvatore Italy Genoa AM RLC, F C 20 99 -9
Bocaly, Garry France / Martinique Marseille D RC, DM 18 98 -9
Jourdren, Geoffrey France Montpellier GK 20 98 -9
Monnet-Paquet, Kevin France Lens ST 17 98 -9
Hernández, Jorge Mexico Barcelona DM 18 95 -9
Traoré, Armand France / Senegal Arsenal D/WB L 16 95 -9
Alexandre Brazil Internacional F C 16 95 -9
Obertan, Gabriel France Bordeaux AM R 17 95 -9
Mata, Juan Manuel Spain R. Madrid AM LC 18 95 -9
Bueno, Alberto Spain R. Madrid AM/F C 18 95 -9
Schmeichel, Kasper Denmark / England Bury GK 19 95 -9
Aldrete, Adrián Mexico Morelia DM 18 95 -9
Altidore, Josmer U.S.A. / Haiti New York ST 16 94 -9
Sarkies, Kristian Australia Melbourne Victory AM C 19 94 -9
Wang Dalei China Liancheng GK 17 92 -9
Kosstadinov, Branamir Bulgaria Hearts ST 17 92 -9
Chico Brazil Atlético Paranaense D RC, DM 19 91 -9
Hobbs, Jack England Liverpool D C 17 90 -9
Mangani, Thomas France Monaco D LC, DM 19 90 -9
Crosas, Marc Spain Barcelona DM 18 90 -9
Sánchez, Christian Mexico Atlas D R 18 90 -9
Bernabé, ángel Spain Atlético GK 19 90 -9
Lee, Kieran England Man Utd M LC 18 90 -9
Slavkovski, Goran Sweden Inter ST 17 89 -9
Sahar, Ben Israel / Poland Chelsea ST 17 88 -9
Lepiller, Matthias France Fiorentina ST 18 88 -9
Nsue, Emilio Spain Mallorca ST 16 88 -9
Qvist, Lasse Denmark FC K?benhavn ST 19 87 -9
Giovinco, Sebastian Italy Juventus AM/F C 19 87 -9
Trejo, Oscar Argentina Boca ST 18 87 -9
Torre, Giovanni Italy Portsmouth F C 17 87 -9
Cahais, Matías Argentina Boca D LC 18 85 -9
Bojan Spain / Serbia Barcelona ST 16 85 -9
Sinclair, Scott England Chelsea ST 17 85 -9
Dervitte, Dorian France Tottenham D C 17 85 -9
K?se, Tevfik Turkey Leverkusen ST 17 85 -9
Volkan, Babacan Turkey Fenerbah?e GK 17 85 -9
Nimani, Frédéric Chad Monaco AM L 18 84 -9
Sídnei Brazil Internacional D C 17 83 -9
Zieler, Ron-Robert Germany Man Utd GK 17 83 -9
Vecchio, Emiliano Argentina / Italy Central AM C 17 83 -9
Saivet, Henri France Bordeaux ST 15 83 -9
Schwechlen, Léo France Monaco SW, D C 17 82 -9
Abenzoar, Lo?c France Lyon D RC 17 82 -9
Zola, Distel France / Republic of Congo Monaco AM C 17 82 -9
Degré, Vincent France Metz GK 16 82 -9
Millán, Nicolás Chile Colo Colo F C 14 81 -9
Zú?iga, Sebastián Chile Cobreloa AM/F C 16 81 -9
Brandy, Febian England Man Utd F C 17 80 -9
Fábio Paim Portugal Sporting CP AM R 18 80 -9
Galbraith, Daniel Scotland Man Utd F C 16 80 -9
Jo?o Carlos Brazil Atlético Paranaense GK 17 80 -9
Scribe, Anthony France Montpellier GK 18 80 -9
Cerrajero, Antonio Spain Atlético DM 15 80 -9
Pinau, Steve France Monaco AM C 18 80 -9
Delle, Joris France Metz GK 15 80 -9
Benzerga, Omar France / Tunisia Lille D/WB R 16 80 -9
Riff, Martial France Sochaux AM L 16 80 -9
Teaudors, Aurélien France Sochaux D C 16 80 -9
Samuel Spain Rayo AM C 17 80 -9
Ismael Spain Rayo GK 17 80 -9
Stenild, Kenneth Denmark FC Hj?rring GK 18 80 -9
Merida, Francisco Spain Arsenal AM LC 16 79 -9
Buonanotte, Diego Argentina / Italy River AM C 18 78 -9
Cem, Sultan Turkey Galatasaray ST 15 77 -9
Benavente, Cristian Peru / Spain R. Madrid AM RC 15 75 -9
Evans, Corrie N.Ireland Man Utd M C 16 75 -9
Cathcart, Craig N.Ireland Man Utd D RC 17 75 -9
Amos, Ben England Man Utd GK 17 75 -9
Wijnaldum, Georginio Holland Feyenoord AM RLC 15 75 -9
Inostroza, Jorge Chile Universidad Católica M C 16 73 -9
Yannick Pupo Brazil Sporting CP AM C 18 72 -9
Wolff Eikrem, Magnus Norway Man Utd AM C 16 71 -9
André Duarte Brazil / France Grêmio ST 16 71 -9
McCormack, Conor Ireland Man Utd M C 16 70 -9
Tuia, Alessandro Italy Lazio D C 16 70 -9
Forestieri, Fernando Argentina / Italy Genoa AM/F C 16 70 -9
Carlos Sáez Spain Rayo AM C 15 70 -9
Bryant, Mitchell England Man Utd AM R, ST 15 65 -9
Natkhu, Bibras Israel H. Tel-Aviv AM C 18 0 -9
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中国球员
Hao Junmin China Tianjin AM R 19 105 -8
Cui Peng China Shandong DM, M RC 19 100 140
Yan Xiangchuang China Beijing AM R, ST 19 99 136
Gào Lin China Shenhua AM/F C 20 96 -8
Wang Yongpò China Shandong AM/F C 19 92 130
Wang Dalei China Liancheng GK 17 92 -9
Huang Bowen China Beijing AM C 19 84 135
Mao Jianqing China Shenhua AM/F C 19 79 -8
Mao Jiakang China Dongya AM/F C 15 57 133

　　知情人士透露，美特斯邦威筹备上市的工作正在审计阶段

　　石仁坪

　　“不走寻常路。”著名歌星周杰伦在美特斯邦威服装广告中的这句话风靡全国。

　　不过，《第一财经日报》近日获悉，美特斯邦威集团正筹划走向“上市”这一寻常路。知情人士昨日透露，美特斯邦威计划A+H上市，目前已进入审计阶段。美特斯邦威有关人士也证实，公司正在筹备上市，但没有透露上市地点和上市时间。

　　2005年12月，有媒体曾报道美特斯邦威总裁周成建表示暂无上市打算。在虚拟经营运作模式下，该公司目前已在全国组建了有250家供应商、1500家加盟商构成的营销网络，但如何整合上下游资源，充分挖掘其中潜力则成为发展难题。他称当务之急是解决上述问题，只有对此有明确设想和清晰目标才能进行资本结构创新，并使资本得到充分发挥。

　　在2006年胡润百富榜中，周成建是中国内地排行第85名的富豪，身家33亿元。胡润百富榜对这位富豪的简介为：“周成建在温州以从事服装加工挖到第一桶金。1994年，他创立了美特斯邦威品牌，因为大胆采用了‘虚拟经营’的崭新模式，从而在服装业成功立足并一路领先。2005年，美特斯邦威销售收入达到46亿元。”

　　美特斯邦威网站的自我介绍称：1995年4月22日，第一家“美特斯·邦威”专卖店开设于浙江省温州市，至2006年实现全系统零售额突破40亿元。目前全国设有专卖店1800家，拥有17家分公司。

英央行货币政策会议纪要显示，货币政策委员会投票以5比4通过维持基准利率于5.5%不变，其中行长金恩第二次属于少数派。

综合外电6月20日报道，据英国央行20日公布的会议纪要显示，该行货币政策委员会(MPC)投票以5比4的结果决定维持基准利率于5.5%不变。

会议纪要显示，英央行副行长洛马克斯(Rachel Lomax)、首席经济学家毕恩(Charlie Bean)、巴克(Kate Barker)、布兰弗罗(David Blanchflower)和塔克(Paul Tucker)投票维持利率不变。

英央行行长金恩(Mervyn King)、副行长吉弗(John Gieve)、外部委员森坦斯(Andrew Sentance)以及贝斯利(Tim Besley)投票支持加息25个基点至5.75%。金恩属第二次在货币政策委员会处于少数派地位。

会议纪要称，市场利率近期的上升已使货币状况得到一定程度的紧缩。因此，在考虑是否再次加息之前，MPC拥有在6月维持利率不变的余地。

纪要指出，维持利率不变不会使市场参与者感到惊讶，因此不大可能影响国债收益率。相对而言，如果加息则很可能将推高国债收益率。

纪要显示MPC委员的主要分歧在于再次加息的时间问题，而非加息的必要性问题。

投票赞成维持利率不变的多数委员引述家庭支出和住房市场正在放缓的“试探性迹象”为依据。

会议纪要称，“虽然家庭支出和住房市场放缓过去未明显提及，但未来可能会出现更多宣布”。

虽然英国经济自2006年8月加息100个基点以来仍保持“弹性”，但以往消费减弱均需要一段时间才能显现，因此必须考虑到近期消费增长的下行风险。

会议纪要还指出，家庭债务增加可能已加强了加息的最终影响，这暗示以稳健的步伐加息。

决定维持利率不变的多数MPC委员认为，劳动市场仍然“疲弱”，“企业报告面临产能压力”与就业“疲软”增长之间的矛盾也令人困惑。此外，薪酬增长也“放缓”。

此外，调查显示公众的通胀预期“稳定”，同时服务业价格增长似乎已经缓和。

Ichimoku图”的算法:
I. Ichimoku包含了五条线:
1. 标准线(Standard Line):
过去N日内(包含今日,通常N=26)
标准线=(N日内最高价+N日内最低价)/2
2. 转折线(Turning Line):
过去M日内(包含今日,通常M=9)
转折线=(M日内最高价+N日内最低价)/2
3. 延迟线(Delay Line):
以今日为第一日,第N日的收盘价(通常N=26)
4. 第一领先距(First Preceding Span):
若”标准线”共有L点,则:
第一领先距=(第i个”标准线”的值+第(i+N-M)个”转折线的值)/2
(i=1,2,3…L; 通常N=26, M=9)
5. 第二领先距(Second Preceding Span):
过去H日内(包含今日,通常H=2*N=52)
第二领先距=(H日内最高价+H日内最低价)/2
II. 绘图:
1. 将上述五条线(也就是计算出的五组数列)连同收盘价线画在一起.
2. 注意: 这五条线并不是”齐头式”的开始划,我们以收盘价线为基准,
(a)”标准线”的第一点要对齐”收盘线”的第N点. (通常N=26)
(b)”转折线”的第一点要对齐”收盘线”的第M点. (通常M=9)
(c)”延迟线”的第一点要对齐”收盘线”的第一点.
(d)”第一领先距”的第一点要对齐”收盘线”的第2N-1点. (通常2N-1=51)
(e)”第二领先距”的第一点要对齐”收盘线”的第3N-1点. (通常3N-1=77)
(f)在”第一领先距”和”第二领先距”所交插包围出的区域涂上颜色,此区
域叫做”云雾”(Cloud)区.
B. “Ichimoku图”的简意用法:
I. 若”延迟线”在收盘价价线之上,表示现在股价正处于涨势;反之则是跌
势.
II. “转折线”和”标准线”的应用可视为两条移动平均线(短天期的为”转折
线”,长天期的为”标准线”),配合葛兰碧八大法则来决定买卖点.
III. “Ichimoku”最重要的就是”云雾区”(Cloud)的用法, Cloud可视为支撑或
压力区,若所有的线型(“转折线”,”标准线”和”收盘价线”)都向上穿越它,
则可 谓涨势确立,反之若向下穿越,则跌势确立.因此聪明的投资朋友
可以把它当做支撑或压力来应用.
五个参数如下：
1) 短轴快线 = 转换线 = (9日内最高 + 9日内最低) / 2， 以9日为一短线周期 (周期长短可任意更改)
2) 中轴慢线 = 基准线 = (26日内最高 + 26日内最低) / 2， 以26日为一中线周期 (周期长短可任意调教)
3) 后移指标 = 迟行带 = 将是日收市价后移至一中线周期
4) 前移指标A = 先行带A = (短轴快线 + 中轴慢线) / 2， 前移至一中线周期
5) 前移指标B = 先行带B = (52日内最高 + 52日内最低) / 2， 前移至一中线周期
云带 = 前移指标A及前移指标B的空间
1、原创者的参数52、26、9分别代表2个月、1个月、1周半，当时日本一周交易6天，所以使用上述的参数，现在我们应该改成44、22、8可能较为恰当。
2、 延迟线(Delay Line):
以今日为第一日,第N日的收盘价(通常N=26)
将N改成22，意思是说：如果用Excel计算，那么第一格的数据应取第22格的收盘价。
3、 第一领先距(First Preceding Span):
将第22天的标准线数据与第22天的转折线数据的和除与2然后放在第44天的位置。
4、 第二领先距(Second Preceding Span):
将第44天内的最高价与第44天内的最低价的和除与2，然后放在第66天的位置。

From forex.xom
The Week Ahead updated June 15, 2007
• USD looks to have stalled against Europe
• JPY-crosses on fire as carry trades roar back
• Stock market gains are needed to keep JPY crosses up
• Light data week all around; US data focus is on housing
The dollar is finishing the week mostly unchanged against European currencies, but sharply stronger against the JPY, as carry-trades surged yet again and the BOJ signaled interest rates are not moving higher in the near future. The currency market was fixated on the bond markets for much of the week, after the sharp rally in global bond yields saw rates move higher globally, with US 10 year rates up over 35 bps over the last ten trading days at their peak. However, the bond yield rally had run it course by mid-week, and subsequent benign PPI and CPI reports saw yields retrace nearly 20 bps from the peak. The lower inflation readings dashed nascent speculation that the Fed’s next move would be to raise rates, which in turn supported equities as they rallied strongly back to recent highs. Stock market strength in turn fueled additional JPY-selling across the board, as carry trades recovered. The strong positive correlation between JPY weakness and equity markets remains intact and Forex markets are likely to continue to be driven by stock and bonds next week as little data of consequence is out to drive currencies.
Looking at the USD against Europe (EUR, GBP, CHF), I’m seeing some good indications that the USD’s rally is over and set to reverse. For example, weekly candlesticks in EUR/USD and GBP/USD are set to post hammer formations, signaling their downmove is ending. The US dollar index, which is heavily weighted toward Europe, generated a shooting star reversal pattern on daily candles in mid-week. The dollar index also tested major long-term trendline resistance above 83.10 and looks to have been rejected, suggesting the overall USD downtrend remains intact. Benchmark 10 year yield spreads between US Treasuries and other sovereign bonds widened in favor of the USD in the early part of the week, but have since narrowed back to the dollar’s detriment, suggesting any interest rate basis for further dollar strength has similarly vanished.
Going forward, I will continue to be closely watching US equity and bond markets as the main drivers for the USD, and these markets pose some risks. Double tops may be forming in the equity indices, and future weakness in stocks would be consistent with higher long-term rates eroding overall economic expectations. Keep in mind that in the space of just 2-3 weeks, market sentiment has swung from one extreme (pessimistic, rate-cutting US outlook) to the other extreme (resurgent economy, potentially higher interest rates). By the end of this week, the pendulum of sentiment was swinging back toward the middle, but this still has to play out in the stock markets. Worth noting for next week is that the focus of US data is on the housing market, and there is little reason to expect positive surprises and plenty of reason to expect more bad news, which would certainly dent the stock market’s current euphoria. Even if the housing data should surprise to the upside, markets are unlikely to see it lasting given higher long-term interest rates. The drop in preliminary June Univ. of Michigan sentiment is another early warning sign that the US consumer is not out of the woods yet (notwithstanding solid May retail sales).
Carry trades are benefiting from the rapid recovery of global markets and the relatively short-lived spike in volatility. While volatility remains subdued, carry trades can continue to prosper. But we have reached some extreme levels in USD/JPY and many of the JPY-crosses, for instance, and they look extremely vulnerable to a sharp set-back should stock markets turn south in a hurry. While JPY-crosses continue to grind higher, I’m looking for the dollar to remain mostly offered against Europe (support for EUR/USD, GBP/USD). But if the JPY-crosses should succumb to a downside correction, the European pairs will turn choppy and see increased downside volatility. Overall, I think 1.3250/60 should contain EUR/USD to the downside, while strength over 1.3420/30 is needed to unambiguously signal the end of the EUR/USD decline. In short, for next week, keep an eye on equity markets and trade based on volatility, with low volatility generally USD negative and JPY-cross positive and higher volatility JPY-cross negative and slightly USD supportive.
Data out of the US is very light, with the main points being: June NAHB housing market index on Monday; May housing starts and building permits on Tuesday; and on Thursday, initial jobless claims followed by May leading indicators and the June Philadelphia Fed index. Speakers include outgoing Boston Fed pres. Minehan on Monday; SF’s Yellen and NY’s Geithner on Wednesday, and Cleveland’s Pianalto on Friday, though the scheduled topics suggest no major economic commentary is likely.
Eurozone data is heavily centered on sentiment surveys next week, beginning with the June German and Eurozone ZEW readings on Tuesday. On Wednesday, May German producer prices and April Eurozone construction output are scheduled. Thursday sees the advance June Eurozone service and manufacturing sectors PMI (purchasing manager indices). Friday sees the June German IFO business climate and expectations survey along with April Eurozone industrial new orders.
UK data is also on the light side, but contains a few key reports. To start with, June Rightmove house prices will be released on Sunday night UK local time. Wednesday is the main day for UK reports, with the highlight being the Bank of England minutes from the latest MPC meeting at which rates were held steady, following the May rate hike. The market will be focusing on the extent and timing of further rate hikes; the greater the number of members voting for a hike (max. 4), the more bullish the reaction for GBP. Also, note which side Gov. King came down on. Other reports out on Wednesday, May money supply, mortgage lending data and public sector borrowing. Thursday sees the June CBI industrial trends survey, a private manufacturing output report, released.
In Japan, the Cabinet office will release its monthly economic report for June. On Tuesday afternoon Tokyo time, May department store sales are scheduled. Wednesday morning sees the 2Q BSI large manufacturing and all-industry surveys, along with the BOJ minutes from the April 27 MPC meeting and the April all-industry activity index. Thursday morning sees the May merchandise trade balance.